NJ.com: Here's what this late election poll says about the Murphy-Guadagno race for governor

Some good news for Phil Murphy heading into tomorrow's election

From NJ.com:

TRENTON -- Democrat Phil Murphy maintains a double-digit lead over Republican Kim Guadagno in the race to succeed Gov. Chris Christie because she failed to win over enough independent voters, a new poll shows.

Both nominees shored up strong support among their base, according to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll on Tuesday's race, which pegs Murphy at a 12-point lead among likely voters.

That's eight points smaller that the 20-point lead Murphy had in the group's last poll, from Oct. 25.

But Guadagno has two glaring problems.

One is that Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly 880,000 people. According to the Division of Elections' latest data, the Democratic Party has also seen its rolls grow by just under 2 percent since January, while the GOP's rolls have stayed flat.

Her second hurdle is that the state's largest voting bloc -- unaffiliated voters -- has shrunk by more than 6 percent since the start of the year, and is split between the two candidates.

All this means that Murphy retains the edge.

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